Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.567397 0.628076 0.693580 0.769724 0.856017 0.951025 1.063882
2025-09-07 0.470598 0.554181 0.651327 0.773325 0.923482 1.103598 1.338021
2025-09-14 0.408047 0.500261 0.612768 0.761581 0.955401 1.202285 1.545419
2025-09-21 0.364684 0.461515 0.584297 0.753635 0.984645 1.293991 1.748584
2025-09-28 0.323030 0.419290 0.545184 0.724817 0.979395 1.334833 1.882456
2025-10-05 0.304613 0.405177 0.540712 0.740661 1.034963 1.463469 2.156312
2025-10-12 0.287882 0.391356 0.534613 0.752427 1.084303 1.586641 2.436501
2025-10-19 0.271529 0.376369 0.525055 0.757372 1.122705 1.695861 2.707536
2025-10-26 0.256968 0.362583 0.515728 0.761140 1.158649 1.803787 2.989752
2025-11-02 0.245084 0.351675 0.509515 0.768638 1.200480 1.924841 3.310838
2025-11-09 0.228512 0.332467 0.489101 0.751470 1.199297 1.971746 3.501326
2025-11-16 0.219454 0.324064 0.484660 0.759590 1.241255 2.098007 3.860536
2025-11-23 0.207919 0.311232 0.472582 0.754424 1.260339 2.186594 4.162517
2025-11-30 0.199055 0.302062 0.465743 0.757559 1.294544 2.307397 4.551373
2025-12-07 0.188147 0.288870 0.451321 0.746109 1.300413 2.373623 4.832521
2025-12-14 0.178865 0.277757 0.439581 0.738355 1.312240 2.452565 5.154722
2025-12-21 0.166720 0.261203 0.417572 0.710228 1.281898 2.441518 5.264745
2025-12-28 0.162963 0.258508 0.419172 0.725693 1.338928 2.620161 5.863866
2026-01-04 0.158782 0.254817 0.418734 0.737175 1.388885 2.789585 6.472727
2026-01-11 0.153830 0.249498 0.415029 0.742002 1.425365 2.933359 7.042878
2026-01-18 0.149027 0.244163 0.410936 0.745679 1.459640 3.076217 7.639608
2026-01-25 0.145038 0.240044 0.408786 0.752996 1.502445 3.244624 8.345025
2026-02-01 0.138007 0.230109 0.395278 0.736242 1.490076 3.277259 8.655258